What was said.
Quoted word for word from the source and dated. Where a span such as “three to five years” was given, the years are our arithmetic from the day it was said. Checked Oct 19, 2026.
“we are not far from the world—I think we'll be there in three to six months—where AI is writing 90 percent of the code.”
Also said: “And then in twelve months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code.”
- Who
- Dario AmodeiCEO, Anthropic · US
- Said
- Mar 10, 2025
- About
- share of code written by AI
- For when
- June–Sept 2025 (three to six months from 10 Mar 2025)
- Where it stands
- Date passed
- Kind of source
- primary (event transcript)
What has happened since.
Independent measures and reporting only, with their sources. One test never settles a prediction about AGI, and none measures AGI itself.
We haven't found an independent, dated measure of how much of all code AI writes, so we can't say yet whether this came true.
Other predictions.
Watch them explain it.
Talks and interviews with Dario Amodei, with our short summary of each.
All videos about AIWhat the words mean. People define AGI and superintelligence very differently, and the definition decides whether a prediction came true. See how each lab and researcher defines them, or the plain meanings in our glossary.