What was said.
Quoted word for word from the source and dated. Where a span such as “three to five years” was given, the years are our arithmetic from the day it was said. Checked Oct 19, 2026.
“2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights.”
Also said: “2027 may see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world.” “We are past the event horizon; the takeoff has started.”
- Who
- Sam AltmanCEO, OpenAI · US
- Said
- Jun 2025
- About
- AI systems producing novel insights
- For when
- 2026
- Where it stands
- Due this year (2026), not yet resolved
- Kind of source
- company-reported (CEO's own blog)
Nothing to check yet.
Independent measures and reporting only, with their sources. One test never settles a prediction about AGI, and none measures AGI itself.
Its date has come, but we haven't found an independent measure that settles it yet. See what the tests measure.
Our note: The fetched page shows no date. June 2025 is the publication month as widely reported; we did not see a dated copy, so treat the month as unverified.
Other predictions.
Watch them explain it.
Talks and interviews with Sam Altman, with our short summary of each.
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OpenAI's livestream launching GPT-5, in which Sam Altman and members of the team introduce the model and demonstrate it.
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Made by the company itselfWhat the words mean. People define AGI and superintelligence very differently, and the definition decides whether a prediction came true. See how each lab and researcher defines them, or the plain meanings in our glossary.