What was said.
Quoted word for word from the source and dated. Where a span such as “three to five years” was given, the years are our arithmetic from the day it was said. Checked Oct 19, 2026.
“We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it.”
- Who
- Sam AltmanCEO, OpenAI · US
- Said
- Jan 2025
- About
- AGI
- For when
- No date given
- Where it stands
- Vague (no date given)
- Kind of source
- company-reported (CEO's own blog)
Nothing to check yet.
Independent measures and reporting only, with their sources. One test never settles a prediction about AGI, and none measures AGI itself.
This prediction names no date, so there is no point at which it can be checked. See what the tests measure.
Other predictions.
Watch them explain it.
Talks and interviews with Sam Altman, with our short summary of each.
All videos about AIIntroducing GPT-5
OpenAI's livestream launching GPT-5, in which Sam Altman and members of the team introduce the model and demonstrate it.
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OpenAI introduces Operator, its first agent product, in a livestream that demonstrates the agent carrying out tasks for users.
Made by the company itselfAI agents · OpenAI · Jul 17, 2025Introduction to ChatGPT agent
OpenAI presents ChatGPT agent, a single agentic model built into ChatGPT, and shows it working in a live demo.
Made by the company itselfWhat the words mean. People define AGI and superintelligence very differently, and the definition decides whether a prediction came true. See how each lab and researcher defines them, or the plain meanings in our glossary.