Monday, October 26, 2026 · Edition updated 6:00 AM ETMON, OCT 26 editionNext edition in Next in --:--:--
Intelligence Verdict
Superintelligence watch · Still to come

Demis Hassabis on AGI.

“I think we're probably three to five years away.”

  • 2030the year it names
  • Jan 23, 2025when it was said
  • Still to comeopen
The prediction

What was said.

Quoted word for word from the source and dated. Where a span such as “three to five years” was given, the years are our arithmetic from the day it was said. Checked Oct 19, 2026.

Demis Hassabis · CEO, Google DeepMind
“I think we're probably three to five years away.”
Big Technology (Alex Kantrowitz) interview, Jan 23, 2025
Who
Demis HassabisCEO, Google DeepMind · UK/US
Said
Jan 23, 2025
About
AGI
For when
2028–2030 (counted from Jan 2025)
Where it stands
Open
Kind of source
interview
What was measured

Nothing to check yet.

Independent measures and reporting only, with their sources. One test never settles a prediction about AGI, and none measures AGI itself.

Its date hasn't come yet. Until it does, the tests on Superintelligence watch show how far the best AI has got. See what the tests measure.

Our note: The year range is our arithmetic from the date he said it.

What the words mean. People define AGI and superintelligence very differently, and the definition decides whether a prediction came true. See how each lab and researcher defines them, or the plain meanings in our glossary.