What was said.
Quoted word for word from the source and dated. Where a span such as “three to five years” was given, the years are our arithmetic from the day it was said. Checked Oct 19, 2026.
“terms like “superintelligence” are so incoherent and speculative that we shouldn’t use them”
- Who
- Arvind Narayanan and Sayash KapoorComputer scientists, Princeton University; authors of “AI as Normal Technology” · US
- Said
- Apr 2025
- About
- superintelligence; they expect AI's effects to arrive over decades
- For when
- No date given
- Where it stands
- Not a date prediction; a counter-view
- Kind of source
- news (MIT Technology Review)
Nothing to check yet.
Independent measures and reporting only, with their sources. One test never settles a prediction about AGI, and none measures AGI itself.
This prediction names no date, so there is no point at which it can be checked. See what the tests measure.
Our note: MIT Technology Review's fetch did not make clear whether this line is the journalist's summary or the authors' own words; treat as the article's wording.
Other predictions.
Watch them explain it.
Talks and interviews with Arvind Narayanan and Sayash Kapoor, with our short summary of each.
All videos about AIWhat the words mean. People define AGI and superintelligence very differently, and the definition decides whether a prediction came true. See how each lab and researcher defines them, or the plain meanings in our glossary.