What was said.
Quoted word for word from the source and dated. Where a span such as “three to five years” was given, the years are our arithmetic from the day it was said. Checked Oct 19, 2026.
“It could be two, five, or ten years–in any case, it will happen in our lifetimes.”
Also said: “Our ultimate goal is still to achieve AGI”
- Who
- Liang WenfengFounder and CEO, DeepSeek · China
- Said
- Jul 2024
- About
- AGI
- For when
- 2026–2034 (two to ten years from July 2024)
- Where it stands
- Open
- Kind of source
- translated interview
Nothing to check yet.
Independent measures and reporting only, with their sources. One test never settles a prediction about AGI, and none measures AGI itself.
Its date hasn't come yet. Until it does, the tests on Superintelligence watch show how far the best AI has got. See what the tests measure.
Our note: Quote is ChinaTalk's English translation, not Liang's original Chinese words. The year range is our arithmetic.
Other predictions.
What the words mean. People define AGI and superintelligence very differently, and the definition decides whether a prediction came true. See how each lab and researcher defines them, or the plain meanings in our glossary.